Will Assassin’s Creed: Black Flag Resynced have a critic "Metascore" of 80 or higher on PS5 by August 17, 2026?

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YES if the film's cumulative U.S. domestic gross through and including August 31, 2026 is strictly less than $900,000,000 USD according to The Numbers' final daily box office figures, i.e. the sum of final, non‑estimated daily grosses. If The Numbers shows exactly $900,000,000 the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that the film opened with high expectations but weak reviews, it’s likely to struggle. Betting against $900 million feels solid with just a couple of weeks left.

93%
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