Will MrBeast's official YouTube channel have 520,000,000 or more subscribers?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 29YES if, on July 29, 2026, at least one official Mexican exhibitor website, Cinepolis or Cinemex, lists public showtimes for Spider-Man: Brand New Day at any Mexican location. NO if neither exhibitor lists showtimes for that date. If both exhibitor websites are unavailable on July 29, 2026, resolve YES if Sony Pictures Mexico's official distributor release information confirms a Mexican release date of July 29, 2026, otherwise resolve NO.
How markets are built and settled83%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent entertainment news pages in the supplied evidence report that the major Mexican chains had scheduled screenings for Spider-Man: Brand New Day and that tickets/showtimes were available via the exhibitors' official websites. CRHOY (2026-07-28) explicitly states that pre‑sale tickets “ya se encuentran disponibles en preventa a través de los sitios web oficiales y las aplicaciones móviles de cada cadena de cine.” TELEDIARIO (2026-07-22) lists specific Cinemex and Cinépolis showtimes for Guadalajara (premiere day 29 July) and includes links to the chains' pages. Together these sources constitute positive evidence that at least one official Mexican exhibitor website (Cinépolis or Cinemex) listed public screening showtimes for Spider‑Man: Brand New Day at Mexican locations on July 29, 2026.
Source: telediario.mxSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledof course it'll happen! spider-man's a cash cow, no way they're missing that release date! 🕷️

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