Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?

9%
Stable · last 24h

81%
Stable · last 24h
Resolves YES if an official meeting of Spain's Consejo de Ministros was convened and held on August 25, 2026 (Spain local date), and its official meeting location is recorded as the Palacio de la Moncloa in the Government of Spain’s published agenda or other government communications (La Moncloa), or reported that way by two or more independent Spanish national news outlets. A meeting held elsewhere, cancelled, or described in reporting as remote/telematic with no official Moncloa location resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 81%, based on 5 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledA meeting at La Moncloa seems likely given the proximity to the date and no indications of cancellation yet. Expect confirmation soon.

9%
Stable · last 24h

67%
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54%
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47%
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24%
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28%
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