Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?

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YES if Google Trends shows Spain searched for Penélope Cruz more than Susanna Griso across the entire UTC day 4 September 2026. This compares relative search interest for the two names, not a raw count of searches. If the two names tie or the difference is not decisive, the market is void and all bets are refunded.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 4, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 5, 2026. The outcome will be settled against trends.google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 79%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Penélope Cruz's stronger recent performance in search interest, it's likely she will outpace Susanna Griso tomorrow. The patterns suggest a clear edge for Cruz.

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92%
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30%
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