Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 15 million views?

53%
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70%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Google Trends shows the relative search interest for the query "penélope cruz" in Spain is strictly greater than for "mark ruffalo" when those two queries are compared for the full UTC day of September 8, 2026. This is a relative search-interest measure, not a raw search count. If the two terms tie or are not clearly separable, the market is void and all bets are refunded.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against trends.google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the recent interest trends, Penélope Cruz is likely to outpace Mark Ruffalo in searches tomorrow. She's been consistently ahead recently, and that momentum usually carries over.

53%
-38% last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

72%
+2% last 24h

92%
+1% last 24h

93%
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94%
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