Will Justin Bieber get more than 16.25 million global YouTube views in a single day?

55%
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33%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Sep 29The market resolves to yes only if Google Trends shows a strictly greater total search interest for 'francisco rivera' than for 'alba carrillo' in Spain on the UTC day September 28, 2026. On that UTC day Google Trends reported an interest score of 175 for 'francisco rivera' and 1,405 for 'alba carrillo' across 173 comparison points. Because 175 is lower than 1,405, the condition for a yes is not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled33%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-09-28: "francisco rivera" = 175, "alba carrillo" = 1405 across 173 comparison points. "alba carrillo" was searched more (78% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "francisco rivera" > "alba carrillo", so NO.
Source: trends.google.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the recent trends, Francisco Rivera has consistently outperformed Alba Carrillo in search interest. Expect Rivera to lead the day.

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43%
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95%
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