Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

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YES if, according to Kalshi, the market page for ticker KXGROK-GROK47-26SEP04 is marked finalized with an explicit YES settlement no later than 00:00 on September 4, 2026. Otherwise NO. A public release by SpaceXAI counts, even if subscription-gated; a closed beta does not.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 157 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current status on Kalshi, it seems likely SpaceXAI will finalize Grok 4.7 by the deadline. They've got 53% odds, but with only a few days left, it’s a calculated risk worth taking.

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95%
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49%
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41%
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44%
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48%
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