🔬Science
Closes Aug 31 · Results Sep 1
Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?
77%
+1% last 24h
1548 bets · 30.4K credits2
Details →
ScienceResults Aug 5
Will SpaceX's Starship 13th test flight occur within the next month?
74%
Stable · last 24h
📊 306 bettors💎 5.8K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 5🤖 Context
This market will resolve to YES if SpaceX's Starship 13th test flight occurs within the next month from July 5, 2026. It will resolve to NO if the flight does not occur within this timeframe.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes74%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent credible sources in the provided evidence unambiguously report that SpaceX conducted Starship Flight 13 on July 24, 2026 (Spaceflight Now, Florida Today, Reuters and SpaceX's own flight page all describe the July 24, 2026 liftoff and flight). July 24, 2026 is before the deadline of 2026-08-05, so the answer is YES.
Source: spaceflightnow.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 74%
- Predictions made
- 306
- Credits staked
- 5,755
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 5, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 5, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 6, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- spaceflightnow.com, floridatoday.com, reuters.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🚀@mick7910Bet Yes· 10 💎
The 13th flight took place on July 24, so after July 5, so it's YES for a long time.
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