Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

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86%
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YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 23, 2026 shows that the sum of delays for SNCF trains that were 5 or more minutes late is at least 112.0 hours, otherwise NO. Clutch includes only trains whose latest reported delay during the local calendar day is 5 minutes or more, counts each such train once using its latest reported delay in minutes, sums those minutes and divides by 60 to produce hours. The total is computed from the official SNCF open‑data 'horaires‑sncf' dataset.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 86%, based on 46 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith 118.3 hours already logged, it's likely we'll see at least the same tomorrow. SNCF's history of delays gives me confidence; expect more delays to add up.

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69%
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70%
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25%
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84%
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