Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

60%
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75%
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YES if Clutch’s finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on August 25, 2026 shows the cumulative hours of delay across SNCF trains that were 5 or more minutes late since local midnight is greater than or equal to 125.0 hours, otherwise NO. Each train is counted once using its latest reported delay, and the numeric comparison is performed on the archived total expressed in hours with no rounding. The authoritative source is Clutch’s finalized archived computation derived from SNCF’s official real-time open-data feed (the ‘horaires-sncf’ dataset).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 46 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that there are already 131.6 cumulative delay hours, it's quite likely we'll hit 132 by the end of the day. SNCF has a track record of delays that makes this a safe bet.

60%
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76%
Stable · last 24h

43%
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57%
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73%
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42%
Stable · last 24h
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