OtherOpened Jul 25 · Results Jul 26

Will SNCF record at least 101 cumulative hours of train delay on Sunday, July 26?

60%

Stable · last 24h

📊 517 bettors💎 15.1K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Jul 26

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on Sunday, July 26, from the "Horaires SNCF" dataset on data.gouv.fr shows the cumulative train delay from local midnight through that day, counting each train once using its latest reported delay, for all SNCF trains that were 5 or more minutes late that day, is greater than or equal to 101.0 hours. Otherwise NO. If the finalized archived total is not available at the resolution time, resolution will wait and automatically retry until that single finalized archived daily total is available, the market will not be resolved NO solely because the data is temporarily unavailable. Numeric comparisons use the archived value in hours without rounding.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

60%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived daily total for the local calendar day ending 2026-07-26 must be >= 101.0 hours (cumulative train delay since local midnight, counting each train once using its latest reported delay when 5+ minutes late). Observed evidence from the dataset: "Daily total finalized by Clutch: 2026-07-26 22:01 UTC. Observed: 117.2 cumulative delay hours since local midnight across 417 trains, counting each train once when 5+ minutes late. This covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-07-26 21:59 UTC." Comparison: 117.2 hours >= 101.0 hours, so the market resolves YES.

Source: clutch.vip