Will at least 19,585 bets be placed on Clutch on August 16?

74%
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82%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Clutch's finalized archived daily total for August 17, 2026 shows the cumulative SNCF train delay since local midnight is at least 93.0 hours, otherwise NO. Each train is counted once using its latest reported delay during that local day, and only trains whose latest reported delay was 5 minutes or more are included. Fractional hours count toward the total. Resolution according to the 'horaires-sncf' dataset on the French national transport open data platform.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 82%, based on 95 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith 98.8 cumulative hours already logged and more than a day left, I expect the total to hit at least 99 hours. This market leans towards YES, given the ongoing delays.

74%
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26%
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73%
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44%
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91%
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56%
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