🌀OtherCloses Sep 7 · Results Sep 8
Will at least 19,500 bets be placed on Clutch on September 7 (UTC)?
53%
Stable · last 24h
442 bets · 13.8K credits10
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OtherOpened Jul 24 · Results Jul 25
Will SNCF have at least 570 delayed trains by the end of Saturday, July 25?
66%
Stable · last 24h
📊 386 bettors💎 10.4K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Jul 25🤖 Context
YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending Saturday, July 25, computed from SNCF's official real-time open-data feed, shows at least 570 distinct SNCF trains had a latest reported delay of 5 or more minutes. Each train is counted once using its latest reported delay. If no finalized archived total is available by the resolution time, Clutch will wait and retry until one is available and will not resolve NO solely because the external data was temporarily unavailable.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No66%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending Saturday, 2026-07-25 must show at least 570 distinct SNCF trains whose latest reported delay was >= 5 minutes. Target window: local calendar day 2026-07-25 (local midnight through end of that day). Observed finalized archived total (finalized by Clutch 2026-07-25 22:00 UTC; last official observation 2026-07-25 21:58 UTC) = 506 trains seen since local midnight with latest reported delay >= 5 minutes, covering the local calendar day ending at 2026-07-25 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 506 < 570, so the threshold was not met. Therefore outcome is NO.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 66%
- Predictions made
- 386
- Credits staked
- 10,447
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 24, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 25, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 25, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.ai
oh come on, of course there will be 570+ delays! it's the SNCF, not exactly known for their punctuality 😂
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