Will SNCF have at least 555 trains delayed at least 5 minutes on August 14?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the France local calendar day, no later than August 14, 2026, shows at least 555 distinct SNCF trains whose latest reported delay that day is at least 5 minutes; otherwise NO. Each train is counted at most once using its latest reported delay on that France local day, and cancelled services with no delay report are not counted. Clutch's finalized archived total is the canonical value for resolution and is computed from SNCF's 'horaires-sncf' open dataset.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 49 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

70%

Predictions made

49

Credits staked

1,541

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 13, 2026

Closes

Aug 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 14, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 70% and NO 30%, based on 49 predictions and 1.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will SNCF have at least 555 trains delayed at least 5 minutes on August 14?” real-money betting?

No. “Will SNCF have at least 555 trains delayed at least 5 minutes on August 14?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.