Will SNCF have at least 530 delayed trains on August 22?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the calendar day ending Saturday, August 22 shows at least 530 distinct SNCF trains with a recorded delay of 5 minutes or more between local midnight and no later than 00:00 on August 23. Each train is counted at most once using its last numeric delay reported that day, and trains with no numeric delay recorded that day are not counted. Resolution follows SNCF's official real-time open-data feed (the 'horaires-sncf' dataset on France's national transport open-data portal).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 64%, based on 32 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

64%

Predictions made

32

Credits staked

977

Comments

2

Opened

Aug 21, 2026

Closes

Aug 22, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 22, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 64% and NO 36%, based on 32 predictions and 977 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will SNCF have at least 530 delayed trains on August 22?” real-money betting?

No. “Will SNCF have at least 530 delayed trains on August 22?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.