Will Brent crude close at or above $89 per barrel on August 14?

42%
+6% last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Clutch's finalized archived total, no later than August 13, shows the cumulative SNCF train delay from local midnight through that day is at least 167.0 hours. The total counts each train once using its latest reported delay that day, includes only trains with a latest reported delay of 5 minutes or more (cancelled services are included only if their latest reported delay that day is 5+ minutes), and counts decimals exactly. Resolution is according to the 'horaires-sncf' dataset on transport.data.gouv.fr and Clutch's finalized archived computation of that feed.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 35 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven today's 174.6 hours of delay already, it's almost certain SNCF will exceed 175 hours tomorrow. That figure is too close not to bet on yes.

42%
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27%
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85%
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48%
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55%
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45%
Stable · last 24h
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