Will SNCF have at least 145 hours of cumulative train delay on September 4?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day, no later than September 4, 2026, shows the cumulative train delay from local midnight through that day is greater than or equal to 145 hours. The metric counts each train once using its latest reported delay and includes only trains whose latest reported delay in the archived computation was at least 5 minutes. The archived total should be the final daily aggregate computed from the SNCF "horaires-sncf" dataset on data.gouv.fr. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 4, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 89%, based on 92 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

89%

Predictions made

92

Credits staked

2,744

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 3, 2026

Closes

Sep 4, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 4, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 4, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 4, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 89% and NO 11%, based on 92 predictions and 2.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will SNCF have at least 145 hours of cumulative train delay on September 4?” real-money betting?

No. “Will SNCF have at least 145 hours of cumulative train delay on September 4?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.