Will SNCF have at least 111 hours of cumulative train delay on August 21?

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if Clutch's finalized archived total, computed from the SNCF official real-time open-data feed, for the local calendar day ending no later than August 21, 2026 shows the cumulative train delay since local midnight across SNCF trains that were at least 5 minutes late is greater than or equal to 111 hours. Clutch computes the total by keeping each train's latest reported delay and counting each train once. Compare the archived numeric value in hours with any decimal fraction exactly as stored. If the archived value is given in hours and minutes convert minutes to decimal hours using 60 minutes = 1 hour. Values greater than or equal to 111 count as YES, otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 85%, based on 82 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

85%

Predictions made

82

Credits staked

1,960

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 20, 2026

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 21, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 85% and NO 15%, based on 82 predictions and 2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will SNCF have at least 111 hours of cumulative train delay on August 21?” real-money betting?

No. “Will SNCF have at least 111 hours of cumulative train delay on August 21?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.