Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

83%
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97%
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YES if Apple publicly enables Siri AI for general (non‑developer, non‑invite) users in English in at least one Apple‑supported region no later than September 30, 2026, as shown by Apple’s release notes, a support article, an Apple press release, or clear mainstream reporting that English‑language Siri AI is available to the general public. NO otherwise. Availability limited to developer/beta or invitation‑only programs does not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 97%, based on 259 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current timeline, it's highly likely Siri AI will launch publicly in English by the deadline. Apple's recent focus suggests they're gearing up for this release.

83%
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30%
Stable · last 24h

94%
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52%
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79%
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27%
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