Will Shishaldin return to 'NORMAL' (back to normal)?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey's Volcano Hazards Program records Shishaldin's Volcano Alert Level as 'NORMAL' at any time after 00:00 UTC on September 9, 2026 and no later than 00:00 UTC on September 12, 2026, in the Volcano Alert Level field. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 53%, based on 34 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

53%

Predictions made

34

Credits staked

1,008

Comments

0

Opened

Sep 8, 2026

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 12, 2026

Resolution source

usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 53% and NO 47%, based on 34 predictions and 1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Shishaldin return to 'NORMAL' (back to normal)?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Shishaldin return to 'NORMAL' (back to normal)?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.