Will Shishaldin reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) records Shishaldin's Volcano Alert Level as "WATCH" (heightened alert) or "WARNING" (top alert, eruption imminent) at any time strictly after 00:00 UTC on September 6, 2026 and strictly before 00:00 UTC on September 9, 2026. Otherwise NO. Resolution based on USGS Volcano Notification Service notices or the USGS Volcano Hazards Program volcano updates, with USGS text taking precedence.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 21%, based on 39 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

21%

Predictions made

39

Credits staked

1,220

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 5, 2026

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 9, 2026

Resolution source

volcanoes.usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 21% and NO 79%, based on 39 predictions and 1.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Shishaldin reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Shishaldin reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.