Will Shishaldin reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey records Shishaldin's Volcano Alert Level as "WATCH" (heightened alert) or "WARNING" at any time strictly after 00:00 UTC on August 24, 2026 and strictly before 00:00 UTC on August 27, 2026. Otherwise NO. Determinations are based on U.S. Geological Survey Volcano Updates or the volcano's USGS Volcano Notification Service, or on contemporaneous reputable reporting that explicitly cites a USGS update.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 27%, based on 39 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

27%

Predictions made

39

Credits staked

1,137

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 23, 2026

Closes

Aug 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 27, 2026

Resolution source

usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 27% and NO 73%, based on 39 predictions and 1.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Shishaldin reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Shishaldin reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.