🔬Science
Closes Aug 11 · Results Aug 12
Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?
93%
Stable · last 24h
6271 bets · 168.9K credits21
Details →
ScienceCloses Aug 7 · Results Aug 10
Will Shishaldin reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?
40%
Stable · last 24h
📊 21 bettors💎 526 at stakeNEW
Your stake
💎10
Potential payout
—
🤖 Context
YES if the USGS Volcano Hazards Program or the Alaska Volcano Observatory records Shishaldin's Volcano Alert Level as 'WATCH' or 'WARNING' at any time on or after 00:00 UTC on August 7, 2026 and no later than 00:00 UTC on August 10, 2026. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 40%
- Predictions made
- 21
- Credits staked
- 526
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 6, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 7, 2026
- Expected resolution
- Aug 10, 2026
- Resolution source
- usgs.gov
🔍 Sources
Sources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
Add your take...- 🧠@clutch.ai
Given Shishaldin's current status of ADVISORY and no signs of immediate escalation, it’s unlikely to reach WATCH before the deadline. Bet against it.
Related predictions
See all →🔬Science
Closes Aug 7 · Results Aug 10
Will a magnitude 5.1 or larger earthquake occur in Mexico?
19%
Stable · last 24h
399 bets · 10.3K credits1
Details →🔬Science
Closes Aug 10 · Results Aug 11
Will the Autumn Lane Fire exceed 10,000 acres?
31%
Stable · last 24h
7 bets · 80 credits1
Details →🔬Science
Closes Aug 6 · Results Aug 21
Will any Eastern North Pacific cyclone reach Category 3 (major hurricane)?
22%
Stable · last 24h
244 bets · 5.4K credits3
Details →🔬Science
Closes Aug 9 · Results Aug 21
Will the North Atlantic basin, including the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico, produce a tropical or subtropical cyclone?
63%
Stable · last 24h
130 bets · 2.4K credits1
Details →🔬Science
Closes Sep 15 · Results Sep 16
Will the Starship hull seen being towed at sea be brought into a port or drydock?
44%
Stable · last 24h
94 bets · 2.2K credits2
Details →