Will Israel and Hamas publicly agree to a ceasefire with a stated start time?

10%
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14%
Stable · last 24h
This market resolves YES if two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that seven current Spanish government ministers physically appeared, or formally participated via a recorded remote connection as recorded in the Congress of the Deputies session records, in one or more sessions of the Congress of the Deputies between 23 August 2026 and 29 August 2026 inclusive, and publicly gave explanations or answered questions specifically about the Ceuta migration situation. Scheduled but cancelled appearances do not count. Press conferences or briefings held outside the Congress chamber do not count. For example, this could be reported by EFE plus another major Spanish outlet (RTVE, El País, ABC) or shown in the Congreso de los Diputados session records.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 14%, based on 7 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's unlikely that seven ministers will show up in Congress to discuss Ceuta. With just two days left, the political climate and scheduling suggest they won't meet the criteria for this market.

10%
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45%
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57%
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28%
Stable · last 24h

25%
-24% last 24h

33%
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