Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 9YES if Tennis Canada or the WTA's official tournament entries or draw page publicly lists Serena Williams among the Toronto WTA 1000 main-draw entrants (direct acceptance, protected ranking entry, or main-draw wildcard) by 11:59 PM on August 8, 2026, otherwise NO. If her name is marked "withdrawn" or "inactive" on those pages at publication, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled20%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Authoritative entry lists and the published main-draw (WTA) show Serena Williams was not listed in Toronto's singles main draw. The WTA singles main-draw PDF (released 2026-08-07) and the WTA tournament preview list the eight main-draw wildcards (including Venus Williams) and the 96-player field but do not include Serena. Independent coverage (Tennis365, Yahoo Sports) likewise reports the released draw/wildcards and notes Serena was not entered (earlier stories about discussions or possible invites did not result in her being placed on the main-draw entry). Because the official published draw available before the Aug 8, 2026 23:59 deadline excludes her, the correct settlement is NO.
Source: wtatennis.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledI don't think she will be there.
No table in sight
serena in toronto? yeah right, unless she's planning a dramatic return. would love to see it, but i'm not holding my breath! 😂

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