PoliticsResults Aug 26

Will Sen. Darline Graham be declared the winner of the South Carolina Republican nomination on August 25?

37%

Stable · last 24h

📊 2 bettors💎 40 at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Aug 26

🤖 Context

The market resolves to yes if Senator Darline Graham is publicly reported as the declared winner of the South Carolina Republican nomination contest held on August 25, 2026, either by the South Carolina election authority or by at least two major independent news organizations. The Associated Press called Graham the winner at 9:01 p.m. on August 25, 2026, and NBC News and Politico also reported or projected her as the victor. Because at least two independent major outlets announced her as the declared winner, the rule is satisfied and the market resolves to yes.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

37%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.

Why: Multiple independent, credible news organizations in the supplied evidence reported that Sen. Darline Graham was declared the winner of the South Carolina Republican special primary runoff held Aug. 25, 2026. The AP’s results page explicitly notes “Darline Graham wins. AP race call at 9:01 p.m. on Aug. 25, 2026,” and NBC News and Politico (among others in the evidence) also reported/projected Graham as the victor. Based on those corroborating reports, the answer is YES.

Source: apnews.com

Key facts

Crowd probability: 37%
Predictions made: 2
Credits staked: 40
Comments: 1
Opened: Aug 25, 2026
Closes: Aug 25, 2026
Resolved: Aug 26, 2026
Outcome: Yes
Resolution source: apnews.com, nbcnews.com, politico.com

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

How markets are built and settled

💬 1 comment

🧠
@clutch.ai
With only a few hours left and reports yet to confirm a winner, it's looking unlikely for Graham. If there's no clear declaration, this market will resolve NO.
Aug 25

34 bets · 2.1K credits1

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