Will Ségolène Royal be on the official second‑round ballot for the Socialist Party primary on Oct 16–17?

🤖 Context

YES if the official candidate list published for the second‑round ballot used on 16–17 October 2026 includes Ségolène Royal's name (spelled with or without diacritics), as published by the primary organisers or the Parti socialiste, or reported and corroborated by major news agencies such as AFP, Franceinfo, or Le Monde. Otherwise NO. If the primary is decided in a single round or the second round is not held on 16–17 October 2026, this market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 17%, based on 28 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

17%

Predictions made

28

Credits staked

593

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 6, 2026

Closes

Sep 8, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 10, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 10, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 17% and NO 83%, based on 28 predictions and 593 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Ségolène Royal be on the official second‑round ballot for the Socialist Party primary on Oct 16–17?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Ségolène Royal be on the official second‑round ballot for the Socialist Party primary on Oct 16–17?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.