Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

20%
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77%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, during any on‑track appearance (practice, qualifying, the race, or scheduled demonstration laps) on 4–6 September 2026 at Autodromo Nazionale Monza, at least one of Scuderia Ferrari’s two entered Formula 1 race cars is shown on‑track with a Michael Schumacher tribute livery that includes Schumacher’s logo and seven stars on the nose. NO otherwise. Resolution is based on Scuderia Ferrari team releases or team photo galleries, Formula1.com or FIA event media, with corroboration allowed from major news outlets such as ESPN, Reuters or the BBC. Historic demonstration cars do not count; the livery must appear on one of Ferrari’s two current race cars entered for the Grand Prix. Off‑car stickers shown only off‑track do not count unless visible on the car during an on‑track appearance. If the whole Grand Prix weekend is cancelled with no on‑track appearances, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 4, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 77%, based on 23 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledFerrari will honor Schumacher this weekend; the buzz around Monza makes it likely we'll see that livery. It's a fitting tribute at a historic race. Just wait for the photos.

20%
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61%
Stable · last 24h

75%
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81%
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45%
Stable · last 24h

61%
Stable · last 24h
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