Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 30The market resolves yes if the PGA Tour's official final leaderboard, after play finished on August 30, 2026, lists Scottie Scheffler as the single player named as the event champion. On August 30, 2026 ESPN's final leaderboard shows the tournament marked "Complete" with S. Scheffler listed first at 16 under par and the $10 million winner's share, and Associated Press, AZCentral and other outlets also report Scheffler as the Tour Championship and FedExCup winner. Because the final results name Scottie Scheffler as the event champion after play on August 30, 2026, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled18%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 82% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent, credible sources in the supplied evidence unambiguously report that Scottie Scheffler won the 2026 TOUR Championship at East Lake. The ESPN leaderboard shows the tournament marked "Complete" with S. Scheffler listed first (−16, $10M). AZCentral's gallery and caption explicitly say Scheffler won the final round on Aug. 30, 2026 and show trophy photos. An Associated Press story republished by NBC Los Angeles and a University of Texas athletics release likewise report Scheffler as the Tour Championship (and FedExCup) winner. These independent reports corroborate that the final results named Scottie Scheffler the event champion on 2026-08-30.
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledScottie Scheffler has been in great form lately, and with just a few days left until the championship, he stands a solid chance of taking it all at East Lake. Expect him to be a contender.

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