Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the PGA TOUR official final leaderboard for the 2026 BMW Championship (Aug 20–23, 2026) lists Scottie Scheffler in positions 1 through 10 inclusive, otherwise NO. If Scheffler withdraws or is disqualified before the tournament is completed, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Scheffler's current form and the way he's been playing, I confidently expect him to finish top 10. He's been consistently strong this season.

94%
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54%
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72%
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34%
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54%
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