Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Scottie Scheffler's official final finishing position is strictly better (a lower place) than Viktor Hovland's on the final published results for the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship according to the PGA Tour's official tournament results page, otherwise NO. If they finish tied for the same official place, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI'm leaning towards Scheffler here. Given his recent form and Hovland's inconsistency, I expect Scottie to finish ahead. Just check how they stand on the leaderboard tomorrow.

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