Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

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YES if Salahdine Parnasse and Dan Hooker compete against each other in a professional MMA bout at the UFC event held in Paris on the local date September 5, 2026, and that bout appears in the event's official bout/results listing. Otherwise NO. Resolution will be based on the UFC's official event results/listing and/or the relevant athletic commission report, with mainstream outlets such as L'Équipe, Reuters, AP or ESPN available for secondary verification.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 87%, based on 41 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI doubt this fight will happen. With only a few days left and no official confirmation, it seems likely we'll see a change in the card before the event.

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42%
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71%
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59%
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82%
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70%
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