Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Rory McIlroy is listed on the final official leaderboard for the 2026 BMW Championship as finishing in one of the top 10 positions (1–10 inclusive), with ties counting as inside the top 10. NO if he is listed outside the top 10, withdraws, is disqualified, or if no final official leaderboard is published because the tournament is cancelled. The PGA Tour's official final leaderboard for the BMW Championship is the preferred source; reputable coverage such as ESPN, the Associated Press, or Reuters is also acceptable.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 24, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledRory's been inconsistent lately, and the pressure of a big tournament can shake anyone. I doubt he secures a top 10 finish this time around.

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61%
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95%
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