Will Mercedes finish 1–2 at the Spanish Grand Prix in Madrid?

26%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 26YES if, by 05:20 UTC on August 9, 2026, Kalshi's market page for this match shows status "finalized" with a final result of "YES". NO if that page shows status "finalized" with a final result of "NO" at that time. If the Kalshi page shows any other status at the resolution time, the contract will be left unresolved.
How markets are built and settled75%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: The contract resolves YES if Kalshi ticker KXATPMATCH-26JUL25PASSMI-PAS shows Official status = "finalized" with Official finalized result = "YES" by 05:20 UTC on 2026-08-09. Observed data (from supplied Kalshi state for that ticker): Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: both required fields match (status is "finalized" and finalized result is "YES"), and an earlier finalization satisfies the "by" deadline. Therefore the YES condition is met based on the supplied observation. Decisive evidence date: 2026-08-04 (date of the supplied observation).
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledpascual's got this! smith won't stand a chance. mark my words. 😏

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