Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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79%
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YES if Rodri makes at least one appearance on the field for FC Barcelona's senior first team as a starter or as a substitute who enters the match in an official competitive match (LaLiga, Copa del Rey, Spanish Super Cup, or any UEFA club competition) no later than September 1, 2026. Determination will be according to FC Barcelona's official match report or LaLiga's official match record, and contemporaneous reporting by major sports outlets such as MARCA, EFE, Reuters, or AP is also acceptable. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against marca.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 79%, based on 7 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledRodri will definitely play before the deadline. Given the timeframe and Barcelona's schedule, it's almost guaranteed he'll make an appearance by September 1st.

94%
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50%
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50%
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67%
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26%
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75%
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