Will Rocket Lab's Electron launch from Mahia and put Synspective's StriX into ~572 km, 38° inclination low Earth orbit?

🤖 Context

YES if Rocket Lab, Synspective, or independent reporting publicly confirms that StriX separated and was placed into the mission's intended orbit (about 572 km altitude and 38° inclination) for the Electron flight that lifts off in the launch window that opens at 00:15 UTC on September 26, 2026. Otherwise NO. • The satellite must have separated and been placed into the intended orbit. Signal detection alone is not sufficient. • If StriX is placed into the intended orbit but later reported non-functional, this still resolves YES. • Source: Rocket Lab, Synspective, or independent coverage (for example Spaceflight Now, Reuters).

Key facts

Crowd probability

79%

Predictions made

71

Credits staked

3,873

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 25, 2026

Closes

Sep 26, 2026

Resolved

Sep 28, 2026

Outcome

Yes