Will North Korea launch a ballistic missile or publicly declare a weapons test?

33%
Stable · last 24h

23%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Sep 8YES if Roberto Roselli, during his testimony or public statements on 8 September 2026, explicitly alleges that José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero was linked to, benefited from, or was associated with a '1%' payment connected to the public loan to Plus Ultra. The allegation must be reported by two or more independent authoritative news outlets or be directly quoted in court reporting or transcripts. Otherwise NO. Resolution will rely on reporting by EFE, other major Spanish outlets, and court transcripts.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 23%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

33%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

61%
Stable · last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h

80%
-2% last 24h

41%
+3% last 24h
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