Will the SCO leaders' final joint communiqué include the word 'multipolar' or the phrase 'multipolar world'?

92%
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80%
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YES if on September 30, 2026 (France local time) a correctional-court hearing about Robert Ménard and his refusal to officiate a 2023 marriage is held, and court records or contemporaneous mainstream press reports (AFP, Le Monde, Franceinfo or equivalent) explicitly state that Robert Ménard was present in court or participated remotely. If the hearing was postponed or cancelled for that date, or if the hearing occurred in his absence with no report of remote participation, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 80%, based on 48 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the high-profile nature of this case, I expect Ménard to show up or participate remotely. Courts usually have strict attendance rules, and this one's likely to attract media attention.

92%
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35%
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45%
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51%
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69%
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27%
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