Worlds: Will Karmine Corp win the Swiss best-of-3 series against CTBC Flying Oyster?

83%
Stable · last 24h

68%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 13The market posed a yes if, at 11:59:59 PM Pacific Time on September 12, 2026, Rick Devens had not been officially evicted, expelled, or withdrawn and the season had not already concluded with a winner. Contemporary coverage shows Devens survived the Week 9 live eviction; Deadline and Parade on September 10 reported Angela Murray was evicted and that Devens was safe after winning the Block Buster, LOHUD on September 12 listed him among the seven remaining houseguests and noted the finale was set for October 1, and GoldDerby and RHAP on September 12 documented him competing in Week 10 contests without reporting any eviction or withdrawal. Because none of these reports show Devens being evicted, expelled, withdrawn, or the season ending before 11:59:59 PM PT on September 12, 2026, the condition for yes is met, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled68%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, contemporaneous reports in the supplied evidence show Rick Devens survived the Week 9 live eviction and remained an active houseguest through September 12, 2026. Deadline (Sept. 10) and Parade (Sept. 10) both report Angela Murray was evicted in Week 9 and that Devens won the Block Buster / was safe; LOHUD’s Sept. 12 story explicitly lists Devens among the seven remaining houseguests and notes the finale is scheduled for Oct. 1; GoldDerby’s Sept. 12 live-feed/Veto coverage documents Devens participating in the Week 10 competitions on Sept. 12 (being in the Veto/Block contests) but does not report any eviction or withdrawal of Devens that day; RHAP (RobHasAWebsite)’s Sept. 12 live-feed update likewise treats Devens as still in the house. None of the supplied sources reports Devens being officially evicted, expelled, withdrawn, or the season concluding before 2026-09-12 23:59:59 PT. Therefore the evidence supports YES.
Source: lohud.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith nine days left until the cutoff, it’s likely Rick Devens is still in the game unless something drastic happens. CBS usually keeps strong players around for drama.

83%
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47%
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