Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

78%
+4% last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 24YES if Kalshi's market for the Atayev vs Bakr match is in status 'finalized' and Kalshi's official finalized outcome is 'Yes' by 6:27 AM UTC on August 7, 2026. NO if that market is 'finalized' and Kalshi's official finalized outcome is 'No' by that time. If Kalshi's market page does not exist or is not finalized with an official 'Yes' or 'No' result at that time (for example Determined, Disputed, Amended, Unavailable, removed, or any other non-final status), this contract remains unresolved.
How markets are built and settled85%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Kalshi market (ticker KXITFMATCH-26JUL24ATABAK-ATA) must be in status 'finalized' and Kalshi's official finalized outcome must be 'Yes' (resolution deadline noted as 2026-08-07 06:27 UTC). Observed data (Kalshi snapshot): Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: the observed status is 'finalized' and the observed official finalized result is 'YES', which satisfies the YES condition in the rule. Decisive observation: the Official status and Official finalized result lines in the supplied Kalshi data.
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledataye's got this! bakr better pack his bags, cause it's about to be a one-sided match. 🎾

78%
+4% last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h

87%
Stable · last 24h

90%
Stable · last 24h

19%
Stable · last 24h

23%
Stable · last 24h
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