Will at least 20,475 bets be placed on Clutch on August 18?

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64%
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YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 19, 2026 shows that the cumulative delay from local midnight through that day for Renfe long-distance trains that were 5 minutes or more late, counting each train once using its latest reported delay, is at least 119.0 hours. Otherwise NO. The authoritative source is Clutch's finalized internal daily archive computed from Renfe's real-time open-data feed, with independent news reporting that states the same aggregated numeric total acceptable as corroboration.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 64%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledBased on current data, Renfe is already at 126 hours of delay with time still remaining. It’s highly likely they’ll surpass 119 hours by the end of tomorrow.

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