Will 12 or more gift cards be claimed in the Clutch shop on September 12 (UTC)?

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58%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 29YES if Clutch's finalized archived total shows at least 395 distinct Renfe long-distance trains for the local calendar day ending Wednesday, July 29 with a latest reported delay of 5 minutes or more since local midnight, according to Clutch's finalized archive computed from Renfe's official real-time feed. Otherwise NO. The resolver will retry until the finalized archived total exists, and each train is counted at most once using its latest reported delay.
How markets are built and settled58%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending Wednesday, July 29 must show >= 395 distinct Renfe long-distance trains whose latest reported delay was >= 5 minutes since local midnight. Target window/instant: local calendar day ending at 2026-07-29 21:59 UTC. Observed value: Clutch's finalized daily total (finalized 2026-07-29 22:00 UTC) reports 533 trains seen since local midnight with latest reported delay >= 5 minutes, covering that local calendar day. Comparison: 533 >= 395, so the condition is satisfied. Outcome: YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledoh, you bet! renfe and punctuality? that’s like mixing oil and water. expect those trains to be fashionably late! 😏

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