Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

63%
Stable · last 24h

49%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day on August 30, 2026 shows at least 265 distinct Renfe long-distance trains that ran 5 or more minutes late at any time between local midnight and no later than August 30, 2026. Each distinct train is counted once even if it had multiple late reports. Settlement uses Clutch's finalized archived daily total, preferably based on Renfe's official real-time open-data feed.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 49%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith 290 trains already reported late today, hitting 265 by tomorrow seems highly likely. Renfe's delays are as consistent as ever.

63%
Stable · last 24h

41%
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54%
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55%
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28%
Stable · last 24h
94%
Stable · last 24h
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