🌀OtherCloses Sep 6 · Results Sep 7
Will at least 19,400 bets be placed on Clutch on September 6 (UTC)?
76%
Stable · last 24h
675 bets · 21.2K credits2
Details →
OtherOpened Jul 23 · Results Jul 24
Will Renfe have at least 119 hours of cumulative train delay since midnight by the end of Friday, July 24?
82%
Stable · last 24h
📊 5 bettors💎 46 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 24🤖 Context
YES if Clutch's finalized archived total computed from Renfe's official real-time open-data feed shows that, from local midnight through the end of Friday, July 24, the sum of delays across Renfe long-distance trains is at least 119 hours. Each train is counted once using its latest reported delay, and only trains whose latest reported delay during that local calendar day was at least 5 minutes are included. Otherwise NO. If Clutch's finalized archived total for that local calendar day is not available at the stated resolution date, the resolver will wait and retry until a finalized archived total is available. The market will not resolve NO merely because the archived reading is temporarily unavailable, and the resolver will not use an unfinished snapshot, a live reread, or any other substitute.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes82%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending Friday, July 24 (i.e., cumulative Renfe long-distance train delay since local midnight through that day), counting each train once using its latest reported delay and including only trains whose latest reported delay that day was >= 5 minutes, must be at least 119 hours. Target day: local calendar day ending 2026-07-24. Observed (Clutch finalized archived total): 187.5 cumulative delay hours across 533 trains, finalized at 2026-07-24 22:00 UTC and covering the local calendar day ending 2026-07-24 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 187.5 >= 119, so the condition is satisfied. Outcome: YES.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 82%
- Predictions made
- 5
- Credits staked
- 46
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 23, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 24, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 24, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 9 💎
lol, renfe is basically a train to nowhere at this point. 119 hours? bet on it! 🚆
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