Will Reform UK's Senedd group elect and publicly announce a deputy leader?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than October 8, 2026, Reform UK’s Senedd group has publicly announced that it has elected and named a deputy leader. This can be a public statement from the Senedd group or from Reform UK Wales, or credible reporting of the result in at least two independent UK news organisations. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against theguardian.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 405 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

50%

Predictions made

405

Credits staked

7,047

Comments

2

Opened

Sep 22, 2026

Closes

Oct 7, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 9, 2026

Resolution source

theguardian.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 7, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 9, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 50% and NO 50%, based on 405 predictions and 7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against theguardian.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Reform UK's Senedd group elect and publicly announce a deputy leader?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Reform UK's Senedd group elect and publicly announce a deputy leader?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.