Will The Rolling Stones' new album reach the Billboard 200 top 10?

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YES if no later than September 1, 2026 there is a public record (an official press release, a court docket entry, or contemporaneous reporting by major news organizations) stating that Raúl Rocha Cantú was physically taken into custody (detained/arrested and held or formally processed) by any law‑enforcement authority. Preferred evidence includes a statement from the Fiscalía General de la República (FGR) or Mexican federal court records, but credible national or international reporting is also acceptable. An arrest warrant or an order of aprehensión alone without any public report of physical detention does not count, and detention abroad counts only if the public report clearly identifies Raúl Rocha Cantú and says he is in custody.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against elfinanciero.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 4 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and the context, it’s very likely there will be a public record of Raúl Rocha Cantú's detention before the deadline. Major outlets are typically quick to cover high-profile cases like this.

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