Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?

15%
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38%
Stable · last 24h
YES if no later than August 31, 2026 Raúl Bolaños‑Cacho has been officially elected or formally designated as President (Presidente) of the Mesa Directiva of the Cámara de Diputados, according to the Cámara de Diputados' official list or press release, or reported by two or more independent Mexican national news outlets. Otherwise NO. A mere nomination or serving only as an interim presiding officer without a formal election or designation counts as NO, and if reports conflict the consensus of reliable sources decides.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against comunicacionsocial.diputados.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 38%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledBolaños-Cacho's path to becoming President seems unclear given the current political landscape. Without clear backing from independent sources, I doubt it will happen.

15%
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18%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

66%
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82%
+6% last 24h

29%
Stable · last 24h
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