Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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75%
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YES if Rafa Jódar's name, or an unambiguous variant such as 'R. Jódar' or 'Rafa Jódar', appears as a competitor in the official 2026 US Open men's singles main-draw bracket as first published by the US Open (United States Tennis Association). If the US Open cancels the entire men's singles event, the market resolves NO. A listing in the officially published draw counts as YES even if he is later replaced or withdraws before playing.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against rtve.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 16 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledRafa Jódar is likely to be in the US Open draw; there's enough time for him to be listed. If he makes it to the official bracket, it counts, even if he withdraws later.

94%
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49%
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85%
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75%
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47%
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36%
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