Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Quinn Simmons is placed ahead of Keegan Swenson (has a numerically lower finishing position) in the official final results of the 2026 Leadville 100 published by the Leadville Race Series or USA Cycling. If one rider finished and the other is recorded DNS or DNF, the finisher is considered ahead, and if both are DNS/DNF or neither appears in the official results, resolve NO. If the official standings record a tie, use the official tie placement as printed.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against velo.outsideonline.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 1 prediction.
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27%
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