Will PSOE top PP in Spain's next national opinion poll?

🤖 Context

YES if the most recent national voting intention poll available no later than September 12, 2026 shows PSOE with a strictly higher percentage than PP in that poll's reported numbers. Use the percentage numbers shown in that poll row, not seat projections. Resolution is based on the pollster's official published figures and corroborating reports from major Spanish news outlets, for example EM‑Analytics/Electomanía, RTVE or Europa Press. Ties count as NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 22%, based on 10 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

22%

Predictions made

10

Credits staked

755

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 29, 2026

Closes

Sep 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 12, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 22% and NO 78%, based on 10 predictions and 755 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will PSOE top PP in Spain's next national opinion poll?” real-money betting?

No. “Will PSOE top PP in Spain's next national opinion poll?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.